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USA Economy in 2013
2012/12/24

Mainly because happened in 2012 in Washington internal mockery, outside Washington (private sector) is "slow adjustment" end this year.

 

Gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 2.7% in the third quarter after (annual rate), the fourth quarter growth may only a third of the speed.

 

As for the first quarter of 2013, it may be no growth. Not only that, 2013 years behind a few quarter seems not good where to go.

 

Say reason, the top ten are:

 

Enterprise will not willing to recruit people. They are the financial cliff shocked, haven't wake up. The market is too weak, there is no reason to increase jobs.

 

9. Consumers would not spend so soon. With unemployment high, food, energy, especially medical prices, consumers have not slow lead strength, so holiday sales status not satisfied. The hurricane "Sandy" (Sandy) no help.

 

8. Tax burden will increase. Politicians claim to reduce Washington's fiscal deficit, stable tax accounted for the proportion of GDP, whether financial cliff will appear, to get enough income to achieve this goal, the tax burden can only rise.

 

7. Government spending will decline. No matter how noisy lobby, popular project will be cancelled.

 

6. Deficit scale will not shrink. As I said last week, if removed a large part of economic growth will slow, purchasing power, not only tax would drop, unemployment compensation, food stamps, benefits and other social project spending will increase greatly.

 

5. A new round of recession is near. If the economy in the zero level fluctuation on the basis of the further slow down, that means economic scale will be reduced.

 

. Political deadlock will continue. Increasing tax increase in what type, in order to reduce where and how much reduced, want to improve the debt ceiling, choose who occupies an important position, and so on, in fact, the two parties in almost any problem will continue to dispute.

 

4. The fed (Federal Reserve) of the low interest rate policy will do more harm than good. This policy has been damage customer interests, and the federal reserve said to unemployment reached 6.5% (1.2% lower than the level) before the meeting, the actual interest rate adjustment will be cause it wants to encourage lending behavior delayed, because it still have time, we are not in a hurry to rise in interest before borrowing.

 

3. Europe's sustained deflation policy will deepen the economic recession, and damage the United States export. The associated tensions are likely to become overwhelmed by the euro's the last straw.

 

2. Then is number one in 2013, the stock market needs to worry about: it was very good!

 

You might ask, do you have any good news can expect?

 

1. from the next election only 22 months.